Monday, July 27, 2009
Been somewhat busy with things, I got married last week, I'm in the process of sticking it to work, can't say much but they had it coming AND it was a long time coming!
Horses birthday this weekend and we're taking a roadtrip to the farm to see my baby! Yippee! Break out the carrots. She's nommed for the Slipper, I scrolled through the prelim list and saw that Hawkes have a Lonhro colt out of our filly's grand dam. Stable seems to have a connection with her family (they trained our little lady's dam who broke down at 3 without distinction). Will take lots of photos I promise xx
Friday, April 17, 2009
Doncaster Day selections:
SR1 – 2 Music Review, 8 Very Grand, 7 Barlagarney, 5 Bomber Command, 1 Joku
Didn’t run on last start but Very Grand may find a genuine tempo to her liking. Not the ideal trip but the drop in class could help Music Review. Barlagarney going good. Bomber Command back up to his optimal distance. Joku hasn't beaten much but can never leave one of Gai’s out.
SR2 – 3 Ahdashim, 6 Over The Wicket, 1 Fravashi, 2 Centennial Park
Ahdashim one of “my” runners, meets Centennial Park 2kg better on last run although query on the extra furlong – bred to stay but built to sprint. Over The Wicket did it tough last start in far better company. Fravashi well-performed in a class above. Centennial Park in winning form.
SR3 – 5 Rollins, 2 Orca, 6 Yallingup, 4 Mortal, 1 All American (???)
At least we know Rollins gets a trip. Harris Tweed something special IMO so beaten 4L on previously unsuitable heavy going not too shabby! Orca, obvious reasons. Top two interchangeable.
Yallingup seems to be improving the further he goes but up 3.5kg at set weights. Mortal up in class but in winning form.
Unless they lead/ride All American more forward there’s no way he’d run 2000m with his tendency to overrace.
SR4 – 1 Zavite, 7 Keepin’ The Dream, 12 Risayla, 2 Newport
Straightforward... let's hope Dream can do it for the Nassipour mares :)
SR5 – 2 Manhattan Rain, 3 Delago Bolt, 8 Rostova, 5 Onemorenomore, 1 Phelan Ready
I’m not going to have a bet in this until I see them for myself… doubts about the condition of Rostova and Manhattan Rain but I think if they ride him like they did in the Slipper, on a true surface he’d come out on top over 1400m.
Delago Bolt won the Black Opal like he could run a mile!
SR6 – 2 Apache Cat, 5 Nicconi, 1 Takeover Target, 6 Northern Meteor
Ugh I’m just going to take a bunch of mystery trifectas and hope for the best. Apache won the TJ Smith last prep with the same lead up but does he go as good fresh these days?
SR7 Doncaster Mile – 3 King Mufhasa, 5 All Silent, 1 Theseo, 18 Musket, 2 Alamosa, 6, Whobegotyou, 16 Rags To Riches, 12 Gallant Tess, 8 Sir Slick, 11 Neroli
Aww Sir Slick bless him what a trier. He’ll need to be to get the on-pace kind of run he likes… (barrier 15)! Maybe if he wins they’ll give him a much needed holiday.
Gallant Tess is the best of the mares because she has some serious heart (see Apollo & Chipping Norton Stakes!)… on tomorrow’s surface she will give the best of the boys a run for their money.
All Silent should have won the Donny last year like he won the Emirates this year. Don’t get me started on that ride. He’s the favourite but I actually see Mufhasa winning, or rather I’d really like Mufhasa to win because I had a sizeable crack at him on fixed odds. As with the TJ Smith I will chuck on a few mysteries and cross my fingers.
SR8 AJC Oaks – 13 Think Money, 5 Glowlamp, 12 Above Perfection, 7 Miss Darcey, 9 Ivory Pegasus, 18 Nothin’ Leica Cat, 11 Disco Dancer (???)
Okay... given that there's no Samantha Miss in this, can Glowlamp be the surprise packet? She did it tough in the Crown Oaks and I'm going to see how she looks and what kind of price I can get for her... it would be a great fairytale.
Ivory Pegasus's mum got a trip.
Disco Dancer... not sure what to think of this filly... seems to switch it on and off but she's proven at staying trips against boys. Not to mention she's had a different jockey at five successive runs. Problem horse or just a cat?
None of these are Boundless :(
Monday, April 13, 2009
I popped out to the stalls to see who's looking good (Logan's Choice looks like an Oaks filly, Harris Tweed is magnificent, a quiet boy and I had to promote him in my tips after seeing him!, Ice Chariot with his usual crazy eyes and flashing tongue - they think he'll win the Sydney Cup), and who's not (Rock Kingdom, Swiss Ace!).
In the time I was there watching, the strapper must have paraded Royal Emperor past us about eight times with that "Eh? Eh? How about it?" look on his face each time he came across.
All he actually said when quizzed about the horse's chances was "He'll be up there in the finish", but come on... guarded confidence? Check. Cummings-prepared Montjeu peaking at the right time? Check. Jockey made his own luck and it all came together.
Otherwise it was only an average day on the punt.
SR1 – 1 Nuclear Sky (4th $6.50), 3 Rabukka, 6 Penrickson (2nd $10), 4 Playwright, 7 Come On Cugat
I got there too late to have a bet in this haha. Whew!
SR2 – 3 Comepsa, 8 Target ($3.60 fav ran last!), 4 Koichi, 12 Without Compromise (1st $17)
SR3 – 1 Ortensia (1st $3.60), 9 Silent But Deadly (ended up my main e/w bet), 3 Beaucoup, 8 Serenissima (3rd $4.20), 4 Velocitea
SR4 – 1 All American (4th $13), 8 The Astronomer (2nd $15), 3 Rhyno Chaser (3rd $5.50), 6 Back Off, 7 Geared Up (scratched)
I didn't have many nice things to say about Orca after this race but I've liked the horse awhile and must have been on crack to leave him out :(
SR5 – 5 Divine Rebel (1st $8), 2 Ista Kareem (4th $10), 6 Kettledrum, 14 Carski Drum, 1 Ice Chariot (2nd $21, NSW quinella $94.40)
Landed nice e/w bets on Ice Chariot and Divine Rebel! The quinella twice was my best result of the day.
SR6 – 2 Belong To Many (2nd $2.60 fav, NSW quinella $8.80), 6 Espurante, 1 Judged, 9 Court (1st $7), 7 Beaming
SR7 AJC Australian Derby - 4 Sousa (4th $4.60), 3 Rock Kingdom, 11 Roman Emperor (1st $15), 5 Dr Doute’s, 2 Metal Bender, 13 Old Jock, 9 Harris Tweed (2nd $9, NSW quinella $68.70), 16 Buccaneers Prize
SR8 – 17 Kiloton, 6 El Cambio, 7 Keen Commander, 3 Hoystar (SCRATCHED), 14 Duporth, 13 Black Prince, 10 Olonana
SR9 – 5 Grager
I've been wrong before!
Friday, April 10, 2009
I only did comment for race 4 onwards because I'm lazy. Happy punting everyone, I'll be there having a lovely time hiding from people.
SR1 – 1 Nuclear Sky, 3 Rabukka, 6 Penrickson, 4 Playwright, 7 Come On Cugat
SR2 – 3 Comepsa, 8 Target, 4 Koichi, 12 Without Compromise
SR3 – 1 Ortensia, 9 Silent But Deadly, 3 Beaucoup, 8 Serenissima, 4 Velocitea
SR4 – 1 All American, 8 The Astronomer, 3 Rhyno Chaser, 6 Back Off, 7 Geared Up
Waiting for The Astronomer to realise his potential. It’s there! At any rate, the last time I was really impressed by All American was when he finished third in the Coolmore Stud Stakes in the spring. I backed him (20-1 that day) and when he got clear I thought he was a certainty. I’m close to jumping ship on him.
SR5 – 5 Divine Rebel, 2 Ista Kareem, 6 Kettledrum, 14 Carski Drum, 1 Ice Chariot
Melbourne horses look too good here.
I know Carski Drum appears horribly outclassed but I like the old boy, and bar wet tracks I really think he can’t be discounted at 2400m and beyond. Finished 6th beaten 5L in the Gundagai Cup last Sunday over 1800m and I don’t think the run would have hurt him. He doesn’t need to race close to the pace like he has at his last few runs so barrier 13 not too much of a worry.
I included Kettledrum here but find it hard to get excited about that Manion Cup form with Enzedex Eagle and Common Objective.
Ice Chariot has done nothing to keep me loyal since the spring, but I think he’ll be helped by a decent track and if horses like Common Objective and Twin Wing set a genuine tempo we’ll hopefully watch him flying home from the tail!
SR6 – 2 Belong To Many, 6 Espurante, 1 Judged, 9 Court, 7 Beaming
Hard to go past the class Sydney mares, but for a bit of fun I’ve thrown in Beaming.
I know Jacqueline Rouge is the one with all the top-level form, but strictly on paper I think this race will suit the stablemate. It looks like Beaming takes a run or two. Her form coming from near last beaten 3L by G1-performed Bel Mer is a top effort given that mare does her best work resuming. Of Beaming’s winning record – 2 wins were recorded first-up, but the other two were at successive starts in May 2008 – at her third and fourth run back respectively.
A lead to the contrary would be that Ollie is booked for the ride on Jacqueline Rouge :(
SR7 AJC Australian Derby - 4 Sousa, 3 Rock Kingdom, 11 Roman Emperor, 5 Dr Doute’s, 2 Metal Bender, 13 Old Jock, 9 Harris Tweed, 16 Buccaneers Prize
I thought I was in Montjeu heaven last week, but I’ve hit the jackpot in this year’s Derby!!!
There are four running – the two Kiwi visitors Old Jock and Harris Tweed, as well as David Payne stablemates Buccaneers Prize and Naval Escort.
I think this race is more open than it seems.
I don’t know. It’s not based on solid fact or even pedigree, but I’ve an instinct that of the two Kiwis to run in the Tulloch Stakes last week, Old Jock will be a better horse on top of the ground over a mile and a half. Harris Tweed was flattered by the wet track but handles all going. Must include! I was more impressed by Dr Doute’s run though. Tough and I hope it didn’t cost him too much.
I had Sousa going for one semester’s tuition when he went around at 20-1 in the Guineas. I caused a minor tote plunge when I tipped him to my local TAB. You’ve never seen a more vigorous grandstand jockey. He’s on top but I think it’s quite an open race.
Buccaneers Prize is stepping out of maiden company into a G1. He seems to be on the up though, will get 2400m on breeding and I feel inclined to consider him in my exotics.
Would have included Coniston Bluebird. He won the NZ Derby but the hard question is, did he beat much? However I liked his last run and he’s proven over the 2400m trip. Will risk leaving him out.
SR8 – 17 Kiloton, 6 El Cambio, 7 Keen Commander, 3 Hoystar, 14 Duporth, 13 Black Prince, 10 Olonana
This has to be the best race of the day. I can’t wait. It was like Christmas scrolling through the field, each horse more exciting than the next!
Kiloton should have had a group race under his belt by now but Denise Mcgrath & Terry Jones deserve a nice race with Keen Commander.
I often think Hoystar is a faux ami but I’ve included him, and I’ve a strongish feeling that El Cambio and Duporth could surprise with a return to form (I’m psychic don’t you know!).
SR9 – 5 Grager
Seems to be a staying type filly with the right trainer!
Some of my best finds include two vintage Chanel flap bags (one real for $4, one excellent fake for $3... that might be real but I don't think so because the leather is too rigid), silk Guy Laroche top for $2.50, boxes full of Dior pantyhose, a gorgeous lace Alannah Hill frock for $8, a Cartier saddle bag for $2.50 (I got sick of this and sold it on ebay for $180). The list goes on.
Well I went to "old faithful" yesterday, the jewel in the crown of my op shop repertoire, and found a gorgeous Natasha Gan prom dress for $10! I'm not up to date on her collections, but I'm sure it's quite recent. The dress is a metallic gunmetal grey linen shot through with silver flashes. It has a jewelled waist and there is a black tulle petticoat to give the skirt volume. Can anyone ID it for me?
It's not 100% "my" kind of thing so I'm going to wear it to Derby Day and probably sell it on ebay, if anyone's keen. :)
Monday, April 6, 2009
I'll definitely be heading out to Randwick for Derby Day, but enjoyed a lovely outing for Slipper day at Rosehill last Saturday followed by dinner at Hooters :)
Unfortunately one of my friends was molested by a bald leprechaun but otherwise, it was okay.
Willa before having her chair stolen & danced on by leprechaun... hey buddy, derby day's next week!
Free drink that matches my dress & fascinator.
Not the best day for betting but I put my burgeoning wet track pedigree skills to the test and it came out okay? Results:
SR1 – Neville Sellwood Stakes (2000m): 4 Keepin’ The Dream***(5th, ended up on the worst part of the track :(), 6 Twin Wing (7th), 2 Prince Arthur (8th), 7 Ausbred King (1st $21)
SR2 – Tulloch Stakes (2000m): 1 Predatory Pricer (5th $3.30 fav), 6 Gigino***(7th $14), 3 Buffett (4th $7.50/NSW first four $901.40), 8 Harris Tweed*** (1st $7.50), 4 Back Off (last $10), 9 Old Jock*** (3rd $13/NSW trifecta $194.20), 3 Dr Doute’s (2nd $4/NSW quinella $17.20).
Harris Tweed was flattered by the wet track, probably would rather hop on Down The Road, Sousa and Youthful Jack in the Derby!
SR3 – Vinery Stud Stakes (2000m): 2 Il Quello Veloce*** (5th $4.40), 7 Palacio De Cristal*** (10th $8), 8 Purple (1st $9), 1 Gallica (3rd $4.20), 11 Disco Dancer (9th $31), 10 Ivory Pegasus (4th $41).
SR4 – Queen of the Turf (1500m): 5 Culminate*** (6th $5), 7 Ready To Lift*** (9th $31), 13 Portillo*** (8th $19), 2 Hot Danish (2nd $2.80), 3 Gallant Tess (7th $8), 1 Forensics (5th $8), 10 Chinchilla Rose (4th $21), 12 Imananabaa (3rd $81).
Must be doing something right because all my selections managed to run second through to ninth… I just left the winner out :P
SR5 – The BMW (2400m): 1 Viewed (3rd $2.05), 7 Road To Rock*** (7th $31), 9 Mr Tipsy (5th $7.50), 2 Theseo (2nd $5.50), 3 Master O’Reilly (4th $10), 5 Newport (6th $13).
Second through to seventh :(
SR6 – George Ryder Stakes (1500m): 5 King Mufhasa (3rd $13), 4 Light Fantastic (10th $8), 2 All Silent (4th $3.80), 3 Pompeii Ruler (8th $31), 15 Fravashi (11th $10), 9 Vision and Power (1st $11)
Of course it’s easy to say now but Black Piranha was my next best after Vision and Power, he’s in my Star Stable :D
SR7 – Golden Slipper (1200m): 1 Real Saga (4th $4.20), 4 Delago Bolt (9th $21, really unlucky!), 2 Reward for Effort (7th $9.50), 6 Phelan Ready (1st $26), 11 Indian Ocean*** (13th $12), 14 Horizons (12th $26), 12 Headway (2nd $26/NSW quinella $241.30).
SR8 – The Schweppervescence (1200m): 3 Mr Baritone (scratched), 1 Racing To Win (6th $4.20), 5 Aichi*** (2nd $3), 4 Posadas (3rd $9.50), 7 Gold Trail (8th $9).
SR9 – Royal Parma Stakes (1400m): 10 Imvula (scratched), 4 Royal Discretion (4th $3.10), 2 Marching (scratched), 11 Bernicia (9th $19), 7 Musket (2nd $8).